Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000168 0.000187 0.000208 0.000232 0.000259 0.000288 0.000321
2025-08-03 0.000139 0.000166 0.000195 0.000232 0.000275 0.000324 0.000385
2025-08-10 0.000117 0.000147 0.000183 0.000229 0.000286 0.000355 0.000444
2025-08-17 0.000103 0.000135 0.000176 0.000230 0.000301 0.000390 0.000512
2025-08-24 0.000089 0.000123 0.000166 0.000227 0.000310 0.000418 0.000572
2025-08-31 0.000079 0.000113 0.000159 0.000226 0.000320 0.000448 0.000636
2025-09-07 0.000072 0.000106 0.000154 0.000226 0.000331 0.000480 0.000705
2025-09-14 0.000064 0.000098 0.000148 0.000224 0.000339 0.000505 0.000767
2025-09-21 0.000060 0.000094 0.000146 0.000227 0.000354 0.000545 0.000851
2025-09-28 0.000055 0.000090 0.000143 0.000229 0.000367 0.000579 0.000930
2025-10-05 0.000051 0.000085 0.000138 0.000228 0.000374 0.000606 0.001000
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000082 0.000138 0.000233 0.000393 0.000651 0.001102
2025-10-19 0.000045 0.000079 0.000135 0.000234 0.000406 0.000689 0.001195
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000075 0.000132 0.000235 0.000417 0.000725 0.001289
2025-11-02 0.000038 0.000071 0.000127 0.000232 0.000422 0.000751 0.001367
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000068 0.000125 0.000234 0.000434 0.000791 0.001473
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000064 0.000121 0.000231 0.000439 0.000817 0.001555
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000061 0.000118 0.000230 0.000447 0.000848 0.001649
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000059 0.000116 0.000230 0.000456 0.000883 0.001754
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000056 0.000112 0.000228 0.000461 0.000910 0.001844
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000055 0.000112 0.000232 0.000478 0.000961 0.001986
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000053 0.000110 0.000233 0.000490 0.001005 0.002114
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000051 0.000108 0.000232 0.000497 0.001036 0.002221